Reds vs Astros Prediction - MLB Picks 6/18/23

Houston Astros (39-32) vs Cincinnati Reds (36-35)

Game Info: Sunday, June 18, 2023 at 2:10 pm (Minute Maid Park)

Ronel Blanco (1-0) (3.86) vs Luke Weaver (1-2) (6.23)

Betting Odds: Houston Astros -150 / Cincinnati Reds +125 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Cincinnati Reds will play the Houston Astros in Game 3 of their series on Sunday afternoon at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas.

Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 36-35 this season and they have won seven Games in a row. Cincinnati has won the first two Games in this series by scores of 2-1 and 10-3. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 4.88 ERA, a 1.43 WHIP, and a .264 opponent batting average this season. The Reds offense has scored 335 runs with a .254 batting average and a .331 on base percentage. Spencer Steer is batting .278 with nine home runs and 37 RBI’s for the Reds. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Luke Weaver, who is 1-2 with a 6.23 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP over 52.0 innings pitched this year. 

Astros Preview

The Houston Astros are 39-32 this season and they have lost three Games in a row. Prior to losing the first two Games in this series, Houston won two out of three Games against Washington. The Houston pitching staff has a 3.30 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Astros offense has scored 314 runs with a .244 batting average and a .314 on base percentage this year. Kyle Tucker is batting .281 with nine home runs and 40 RBI’s for the Astros. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Ronel Blanco, who is 1-0 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.71 WHIP over 23.1 innings pitched this season.

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Trends

Cincinnati is 2-7 in their last 9 Sunday Games and 8-1 in their last 9 Games against the AL West. The under is 4-1 in Cincinnati’s last 5 Sunday Games. Houston is 26-8 in their last 34 Sunday Games and 3-8 in their last 11 Games. The under is 7-1 in Houston’s last 8 Sunday Games. Cincinnati is 47-19 in these two teams last 66 head to head meetings.

Pick

The Astros haven’t played their best baseball over the last two weeks and they are dealing with quite a few injuries, while Cincinnati is playing some of their best baseball this year. Cincinnati is starting Luke Weaver, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts, but he does have a 6.23 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP this season. Houston is starting Ronel Blanco, who has allowed four earned runs over 11.1 innings pitched in his last two starts. I think we are going to see quite a few runs in this Game and I like the over. 

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