Twins vs Braves Prediction - MLB Picks 6/26/23

Atlanta Braves (50-27) vs Minnesota Twins (40-39)

Game Info: Monday, June 26, 2023 at 7:20 pm (Truist Park)

Spencer Strider (8-2) (3.93) vs Sonny Gray (4-1) (2.56)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -200 / Minnesota Twins +165 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Minnesota Twins will play the Atlanta Braves in Game 1 of their series on Monday night at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia.

Twins Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 40-39 this season and they have won four of their last five Games. Minnesota is coming off of a series win against Detroit, where they won two out of three Games. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 3.66 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and a .230 opponent batting average this season. The Twins offense has scored 340 runs with a .232 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Carlos Correa is batting .216 with 11 home runs and 37 RBI’s for the Twins. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Sonny Gray, who is 4-1 with a 2.56 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 81.0 innings pitched this year. 

Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 50-27 this season and they have won 10 of their last 11 Games. Atlanta is coming off of a series win in Cincinnati, where they won two out of three Games. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 428 runs with a .271 batting average and a .341 on base percentage this year. Ronald Acuna is batting .328 with 16 home runs and 47 RBI’s for the Braves. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Spencer Strider, who is 8-2 with a 3.93 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 84.2 innings pitched this season.

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Trends

Minnesota is 4-1 in their last 5 Games and 3-7 in their last 10 Monday Games. The under is 6-2 in Minnesota’s last 8 road Games. Atlanta is 20-8 in their last 28 Games and 43-18 in their last 61 Game one’s of a series. The over is 8-3 in Atlanta’s last 11 Games. Minnesota is 3-9 in these two teams last 12 head to head meetings.

Pick

The Braves come into this Game playing great baseball and they have a decent lead in the NL East over the Marlins. Minnesota is leading their division as well, but they have 10 fewer wins than Atlanta. The Twins are starting Sonny Gray, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Atlanta is starting Spencer Strider, who has allowed 14 earned runs over his last three starts (15 IP). I think Minnesota can keep this Game close and I am going to take them +1.5 in this matchup. 

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